Publications, talks & posters
Peer-reviewed research and conference work in health economics, simulation and applied machine learning.
Use of Metamodels in Health Economics
A CKD dynamic prevalence model (ODE-based, R) with a neural-network metamodel reaching 0.139% MAPE — 31× faster, enabling real-time dashboards.
ViewThe Longevity Conundrum: Population Aging in the UK
An age- and sex-stratified dynamic population model built on ONS data, tracking births, migration and mortality to assess health-system implications of an ageing demographic.
ViewMicrosimulation Model in Obesity: A Feasibility Study
A C++ disease-state microsimulation informed by systematic literature review, validated against NICE technology appraisals to compare cost-effectiveness outcomes.
ViewMetamodels & SHAP Analysis: Unearthing Data Interactions
Applied SHAP to interpret metamodel predictions and uncover complex data interactions within health-economic simulations.
ViewQuantifying Opportunity Costs of DOAC Switching Across the NHS
A structured framework quantifying operational costs of intra-DOAC switching across NHS ICBs — 14 key steps, ~99 min per patient.
ViewORS Society Spring Webinar
Presented on behalf of HEOR the impact of ageing on NHS secondary care — hospital admissions, resource utilisation and health outcomes across England.
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